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What Would It Take for Gold to Reach $3,000?

Gold saw a bump up at the end of last week, edging higher on Friday on a weaker dollar and geopolitical uncertainty, including the ongoing conflicts in the Mideast and Ukraine. Still, gold has been rangebound just above $2,000 an ounce since the start of the year, buoyed by ongoing geopolitical conflict, but held down by high interest rates and a resilient dollar.

Some analysts recently expressed projections that gold could reach $3,000 an ounce by 2025. But what will it take for gold to get there?

We see a few things at play here:

  • De-dollarization
  • Central bank gold buying
  • Equities Bubble burst
  • Rising debt
  • Target inflation levels

Mainly, for gold to rise significantly what is needed is a dynamic change in monetary policy… when the Federal Reserve finally begins to slash rates, this will be extremely bullish for gold. The Fed is now widely expected to keep interest rates elevated until at least June after a series of positive economic reports and negative inflation reports. With the Federal Reserve planning to keep interest rates high for some time, gold may be locked into a bit of a holding pattern for now. 

In the meantime, rangebound trading is providing an extended opportunity for investors to buy gold at these levels. Savvy investors should keep an eye out for temporary dips as buying opportunities and make sure that their portfolio allocation of gold is in the target 8-12% recommended by World Gold Council.

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